Notre Dame
W-L: (30-22) PR = 95.8932Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 1- 7 214 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 14- 1 215 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 7- 1 220 A Pennsylvania IVY ( 2- 9, 91.9) 2- 0 221 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 4- 9 222 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 9- 8 227 A Alabama A&M SWAC ( 1- 6, 89.5) 19- 2 228 H UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 14- 3 301 A Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 11- 0 303 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 11-13 306 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 10-13 307 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 5- 6 308 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 2- 0 310 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 11- 6 313 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 14-11 314 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 7- 8 315 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 12-21 320 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 6- 0 321 A Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 8- 9 322 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 7- 4 324 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 14- 3 328 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 5- 6 328 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 7-13 329 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 10-15 402 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 3- 7 403 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 3- 7 404 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 6- 7 408 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 4- 4 410 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 4- 2 411 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 5- 3 412 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 5-20 414 H Valparaiso MV ( 1- 8, 89.4) 6- 1 417 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 0-11 418 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 7- 9 419 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 4- 6 422 A Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 3- 2 424 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 12- 2 425 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 1-16 426 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 6- 7 428 H Central Michigan MA ( 3- 8, 92.3) 5- 3 429 A UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 16- 1 501 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 6- 2 502 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 10- 7 503 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 18-13 508 H Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 2- 0 509 H Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 15- 5 510 H Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 9- 3 512 H Dayton A10 ( 4- 4, 93.1) 16- 6 514 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 3-10 515 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 6- 3 516 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 21-10 519 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 5- 4 520 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 10-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Florida Atlantic 1- 7 -6 1 --- -7.46
214 A Florida Atlantic 14- 1 13 1 +++ 11.54
215 A Florida Atlantic 7- 1 6 1 ++ 4.54
220 A Pennsylvania 2- 0 2 3 -1.29
221 A LSU 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.21
222 H Indiana 9- 8 1 2 -0.51
227 A Alabama A&M 19- 2 17 6 +++ 8.29
228 H UIC 14- 3 11 4 +++ 7.06
301 A Tennessee Tech 11- 0 11 5 ++ 5.76
303 A UNC Greensboro 11-13 -2 3 -- -5.28
306 H Houston 10-13 -3 2 -- -4.97
307 A Duke 5- 6 -1 1 -1.72
308 A Duke 2- 0 2 1 1.28
310 A Queens University 11- 6 5 5 -0.44
313 A Louisville 14-11 3 -1 + 3.98
314 A Louisville 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.02
315 A Louisville 12-21 -9 -1 --- -8.02
320 H Clemson 6- 0 6 1 ++ 5.07
321 A Kentucky 8- 9 -1 -1 -0.30
322 H Clemson 7- 4 3 1 + 2.07
324 H Western Michigan 14- 3 11 4 +++ 6.94
328 H North Carolina 5- 6 -1 -2 1.23
328 H North Carolina 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.77
329 H North Carolina 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.77
402 A NC State 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.84
403 A NC State 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.84
404 A NC State 6- 7 -1 -1 0.16
408 A Cal State Bakersfield 4- 4 0 2 - -2.33
410 A Kennesaw State 4- 2 2 1 1.46
411 H Virginia 5- 3 2 0 1.53
412 H Virginia 5-20 -15 0 --- -14.47
414 H Valparaiso 6- 1 5 7 - -2.12
417 A Florida State 0-11 -11 -2 --- -9.23
418 A Florida State 7- 9 -2 -2 -0.23
419 A Florida State 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.23
422 A Michigan State 3- 2 1 0 0.83
424 H Boston College 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.29
425 H Boston College 1-16 -15 1 --- -14.71
426 H Boston College 6- 7 -1 1 -1.71
428 H Central Michigan 5- 3 2 4 - -2.23
429 A UT Arlington 16- 1 15 2 +++ 12.17
501 H Stanford 6- 2 4 2 1.99
502 H Stanford 10- 7 3 2 0.99
503 H Stanford 18-13 5 2 + 2.99
508 H Oakland 2- 0 2 5 - -3.43
509 H Oakland 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.57
510 H Oakland 9- 3 6 5 0.57
512 H Dayton 16- 6 10 4 +++ 6.49
514 H UCF 3-10 -7 1 --- -7.57
515 H Bellarmine 6- 3 3 5 - -2.41
516 A Pittsburgh 21-10 11 -1 +++ 12.15
519 H Clemson 5- 4 1 1 0.07
520 A Virginia Tech 10-17 -7 0 --- -6.92
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Florida Atlantic 1- 7 -6 1 --- -7.46 315 A Louisville 12-21 -9 -1 --- -8.02 412 H Virginia 5-20 -15 0 --- -14.47 417 A Florida State 0-11 -11 -2 --- -9.23 425 H Boston College 1-16 -15 1 --- -14.71 514 H UCF 3-10 -7 1 --- -7.57 520 A Virginia Tech 10-17 -7 0 --- -6.92 303 A UNC Greensboro 11-13 -2 3 -- -5.28 306 H Houston 10-13 -3 2 -- -4.97 221 A LSU 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.21 328 H North Carolina 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.77 329 H North Carolina 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.77 402 A NC State 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.84 403 A NC State 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.84 408 A Cal State Bakersfield 4- 4 0 2 - -2.33 414 H Valparaiso 6- 1 5 7 - -2.12 428 H Central Michigan 5- 3 2 4 - -2.23 508 H Oakland 2- 0 2 5 - -3.43 515 H Bellarmine 6- 3 3 5 - -2.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Florida Atlantic 14- 1 13 1 +++ 11.54 227 A Alabama A&M 19- 2 17 6 +++ 8.29 228 H UIC 14- 3 11 4 +++ 7.06 324 H Western Michigan 14- 3 11 4 +++ 6.94 424 H Boston College 12- 2 10 1 +++ 9.29 429 A UT Arlington 16- 1 15 2 +++ 12.17 512 H Dayton 16- 6 10 4 +++ 6.49 516 A Pittsburgh 21-10 11 -1 +++ 12.15 215 A Florida Atlantic 7- 1 6 1 ++ 4.54 301 A Tennessee Tech 11- 0 11 5 ++ 5.76 320 H Clemson 6- 0 6 1 ++ 5.07 509 H Oakland 15- 5 10 5 ++ 4.57 313 A Louisville 14-11 3 -1 + 3.98 322 H Clemson 7- 4 3 1 + 2.07 503 H Stanford 18-13 5 2 + 2.99 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 1- 7 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.55 -1.49
3 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 14- 1 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.55 14.14
3 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 7- 1 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.55 14.14
3 A Pennsylvania ( 2- 9, 91.9) 2- 0 -7.97 10.46 0.68 0.55 12.15
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 4- 9 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.55 -0.60
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 9- 8 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.55 14.09
3 A Alabama A&M ( 1- 6, 89.5) 19- 2 -10.39 8.04 0.68 0.55 9.51
3 H UIC ( 7-12, 92.6) 14- 3 -7.27 11.16 -0.68 0.55 11.44
3 A Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 11- 0 -9.92 8.51 0.68 0.55 10.02
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 11-13 -7.96 10.46 0.68 0.55 -1.99
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 10-13 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.55 -1.63
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 5- 6 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.55 -1.29
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 2- 0 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.55 14.95
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 11- 6 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.55 9.80
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 14-11 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.55 16.81
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 7- 8 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.55 -0.82
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 12-21 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.55 -0.82
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 6- 0 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.55 14.73
3 A Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 8- 9 -3.98 14.44 0.68 0.55 -0.90
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 7- 4 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.55 14.73
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 14- 3 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 0.55 11.31
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 5- 6 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.55 -0.49
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 7-13 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.55 -0.49
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 10-15 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.55 -0.49
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 3- 7 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.55 -0.78
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 3- 7 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.55 -0.78
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 6- 7 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.55 -0.78
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 4- 4 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.55 0.00
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 4- 2 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.55 15.15
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 5- 3 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.55 15.23
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 5-20 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.55 -1.22
3 H Valparaiso ( 1- 8, 89.4) 6- 1 -10.45 7.97 -0.68 0.55 7.96
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 0-11 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.55 -0.61
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 7- 9 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.55 -0.61
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 4- 6 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.55 -0.61
3 A Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 3- 2 -4.86 13.57 0.68 0.55 15.55
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 12- 2 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.55 14.96
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 1-16 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.55 -1.29
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 6- 7 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.55 -1.29
3 H Central Michig ( 3- 8, 92.3) 5- 3 -7.57 10.86 -0.68 0.55 11.12
3 A UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 16- 1 -6.51 11.92 0.68 0.55 13.74
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 6- 2 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.55 13.54
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 10- 7 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.55 13.54
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 18-13 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.55 13.54
3 H Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 2- 0 -8.76 9.67 -0.68 0.55 9.81
3 H Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 15- 5 -8.76 9.67 -0.68 0.55 9.81
3 H Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 9- 3 -8.76 9.67 -0.68 0.55 9.81
3 H Dayton ( 4- 4, 93.1) 16- 6 -6.84 11.59 -0.68 0.55 11.91
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 3-10 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.55 -1.25
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 6- 3 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.55 9.83
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 21-10 -3.53 14.89 0.68 0.55 16.99
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 5- 4 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.55 14.73
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 10-17 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.55 -1.07
------
363.74
|
winning pts = 385.0265 losing points = -21.2905
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------